Delhivery’s Dominance in India’s Evolving Logistics Sector: Growth, Challenges, and Prospects

Brokerage Free Team • September 5, 2024 | 6 min read • 97 views

 

Introduction

As India’s e-commerce landscape continues to flourish, Delhivery has emerged as a leading logistics player, capitalizing on its competitive pricing, extensive network, and innovative business model. This article explores Delhivery’s market position, growth strategies, financial performance, and the challenges it faces in a rapidly growing industry.

 

The Growth of the Indian Logistics Industry

 

The logistics industry is integral to e-commerce success, and in India, it’s growing at an impressive rate. Globally valued at $7.98 trillion in 2022, the logistics sector is expected to expand to $18.23 trillion by 2030, driven by a 10.7% CAGR. The Indian logistics market, projected to reach $531 billion by 2026, is also experiencing substantial growth.

 

India's logistics sector is buoyed by innovations in transportation and warehousing. With road transport handling 60% of cargo movement, it plays a critical role. India’s ranking in the World Bank’s Logistics Performance Index 2023 improved to 38th, with an aim to enter the top 25 by 2030.

 

 

Delhivery’s Strategic Positioning in Indian Logistics

 

Competitive Pricing and Business Model

Delhivery’s pricing strategy sets it apart from competitors, offering cost-effective logistics solutions through economies of scale. The company’s model benefits as the volume of deliveries increases, helping it maintain its leadership in the logistics space.

 

Service Portfolio

Delhivery offers comprehensive logistics solutions including express parcel delivery, warehousing, freight services, supply chain management, and cross-border logistics. With 85+ fulfillment centers, 29 automated sort centers, and a vast network of hubs and delivery points, it ensures efficient service across India.

 

The Role of 3PL in E-commerce and Delhivery’s Growth

 

Expansion in Third-Party Logistics (3PL)

The 3PL sector is expected to grow by more than 20%, driven by expanding e-commerce categories and improved return logistics. Delhivery has positioned itself well in this space, especially as small and medium enterprises (SMEs) increasingly opt for its services.

 

Shift in Customer Base

Delhivery’s top five customers now contribute 40% to its revenue, down from 44%, showcasing a diversified customer base. The company’s reputation for efficiency and affordability continues to attract new clients, especially in the direct-to-consumer (D2C) market.

 

Shareholding Pattern: Shifts and Market Sentiment

 

Delhivery’s shareholding structure has witnessed significant changes, reflecting investor sentiment and market dynamics.

 

in % Jun'22 Sep'22 Dec'22 Mar'23 Jun'23 Sep'23 Dec'23 Mar'24 Jun'24
Promoter
Public Shareholding 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Institutions 14.85 81.35 80.56 80.65 80.15 80.18 79.73 83.25 83.19
Non-Institutions 85.15 18.65 19.44 19.35 19.84 19.82 20.27 16.75 16.81

 

Peer Comparison: Where Delhivery Stands

 

In India’s competitive logistics market, Delhivery faces several key competitors. Here's how Delhivery compares against major peers in terms of revenue, profitability, and market position.

 

Peer Name Latest Price PE Market cap(Cr) Prom Holding(%) YoY Qtly Sales(%) ROCE(%) ROE(%)
Delhivery 419.35 0 31000 12.57 -1.41 -2.72
Blue Dart Express 8221.55 66.5 19495 75 8.5 17.8 22.02
GE Shipping 1331.4 6.66 18994 30.07 17.49 19.34 21.09
Shipping Corpn. 268.75 15.66 12514 63.75 26.18 8.15 9.01
Gujarat Pipavav Port 231.34 29.13 11182 44.01 14.45 17.24 14.78
TVS Supply Chain Sol 196.08 0 8636 43.12 10.94 6.99 -5.58
Transport Corp. 1094.75 23.69 8515 68.94 10.03 14.79 17.51
Allcargo Logistics 67.99 205.47 6680 63.66 16.56 23.83 22.37

 

SWOT Analysis: Delhivery’s Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats

 

Strengths

Extensive Network: Delhivery’s vast infrastructure, including over 85 fulfillment centers and a strong last-mile delivery network, ensures wide-reaching coverage.

Competitive Pricing: The company’s ability to offer competitive pricing through economies of scale attracts large clients, including e-commerce giants like Amazon.

Technological Integration: Delhivery’s focus on automation, data-driven insights, and efficient processes helps optimize costs and improve service delivery.

Diverse Service Offerings: From express parcel delivery to cross-border logistics, Delhivery offers a full spectrum of logistics services, positioning itself as a one-stop solution for clients.

 

Weaknesses

Profitability Issues: Despite growth in revenue, Delhivery continues to struggle with profitability, reflected in its negative Net Profit Margin and Return on Equity.

Stock Volatility: Post-IPO, Delhivery’s stock has been volatile, partly due to challenges in maintaining consistent financial performance.

Heavy Reliance on Large Clients: While diversification is improving, Delhivery still derives a significant portion of its revenue from a few key clients, making it vulnerable to shifts in these partnerships.

 

Opportunities

Growth in E-commerce and 3PL: The rise of e-commerce in India, especially in Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities, presents opportunities for Delhivery to expand its market share in third-party logistics (3PL).

Cost Optimization through Technological Innovations: Delhivery’s investment in automation, larger trucks, and optimized routes is expected to reduce logistics costs and improve profit margins.

International Expansion: As Delhivery scales its cross-border logistics services, there’s potential for international growth in the Asia-Pacific region.

 

Threats

Intensifying Competition: Competitors like Flipkart and Meesho are increasingly building in-house logistics capabilities, which could reduce demand for third-party services from companies like Delhivery.

Price Wars and Margin Pressure: The logistics sector is highly competitive, and ongoing price wars could further compress margins, impacting profitability.

Regulatory Challenges: Changes in government policies or regulations related to logistics and transportation could pose operational challenges for Delhivery.

 

Financial Performance and Key Metrics

 

Key Metrics Value Key Metrics Value
Market Capitalization 30427.2 Net Profit TTM Growth % 84.9
TTM PE Ratio -288.8 Operating Profit Margin Qtr % 4.5
TTM PEG Ratio -3.4 Operating Profit Margin TTM % 2.8
Price to Book 3.3 Piotroski Score 4
Institutions holding 83.19 Relative returns vs Nifty50 quarter% -1
Revenue Growth Qtr YoY % 12.6 Relative returns vs Sector quarter% -3.4
Revenue Growth (TTM) 13.2 ROE Annual % -2.7
Net Profit Qtr Growth YoY % 160.7 RoA Annual % -2.2

 

The Path Forward: Growth and Market Share

 

Focus on Efficiency

Delhivery’s use of larger trucks and optimized routes has reduced logistics costs, particularly in the Part-Truckload (PTL) segment. With ongoing cost optimization and better truck utilization, the company aims to further improve its operating margins.

 

Expansion Opportunities

Delhivery’s management plans to expand its market share in the D2C, omnichannel, and e-commerce segments. With a focus on innovation, the company is well-positioned to benefit from India’s growing e-commerce demand, especially in Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities.

 

Investor Sentiment and Outlook

 

Institutional Investor Activity

A notable event in Delhivery’s shareholder landscape was the exit of the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board (CPPIB), which sold its remaining stake in 2024. While this impacted market sentiment, domestic institutional investors (DIIs) have increased their holdings, showing confidence in Delhivery’s long-term prospects.

 

Positive Analyst Views

Research firms like Kotak Institutional Equities and ICICI Direct have expressed optimism about Delhivery’s growth trajectory, highlighting its efficient logistics services and strategic expansion plans.

 

Conclusion: The Road Ahead for Delhivery

 

Delhivery’s journey in India’s logistics sector is marked by growth and challenges. While the company faces increasing competition and profitability concerns, its strong market position, diversified service offerings, and continued focus on innovation give it an edge. As Delhivery navigates market pressures, its ability to expand its market share and reach profitability will be critical for long-term success.

 

Discussion

Results Season - Quarterly Results 2024

5 months ago | 17 min read • 7323 views

Servotech Power Systems: Charging Ahead

7 months ago | 4 min read • 4527 views

2024 Interim Budget Highlights

7 months ago | 2 min read • 4499 views

Decoding Trent's Triumph: The Impact of Zudio

6 months ago | 3 min read • 4492 views

Peter Cundill’s Serendipitous Discovery of Value Investing

8 hours ago | 7 min read • 12 views

Top ELSS Funds - 2024

4 days ago | 11 min read • 54 views