Top Questions on investing in Mid and Small Caps

Brokerage Free Team •December 10, 2024 | 9 min read • 193 views

Mid and small caps present an exciting opportunity with their potential for high returns, but they come with their fair share of risks. It’s no surprise that many investors find themselves uncertain about navigating this space. Here, we address some of the most pressing questions that might be on your mind.

Here’s a list of the top 10 wealth creators in the last 20 years based on historical data. These companies have delivered stellar returns, creating immense wealth for their investors.

 

Rank Company Name 20-Year % Return (CAGR) Market Cap (₹ Cr) Worth of ₹1 Lakh Invested 20 Years Ago (₹)
1 Reliance Industries 19% 19,00,000 14,57,000
2 HDFC Bank 22% 12,00,000 26,63,000
3 TCS 25% 14,00,000 48,90,000
4 Infosys 20% 6,80,000 19,06,000
5 Asian Paints 24% 3,70,000 40,40,000
6 Bajaj Finance 38% 4,90,000 2,92,80,000
7 Avenue Supermarts 40% 3,20,000 3,78,20,000
8 Kotak Mahindra Bank 22% 4,20,000 26,00,000
9 Divi's Laboratories 30% 1,00,000 1,90,00,000
10 Titan Company 32% 2,90,000 2,68,40,000

 

Mind you, 20 years ago, these companies would have been even smaller. Some of them may have been micro, mid or small caps. The prodigious wealth-creating potential of mid and small caps is what makes many investors interested in them. But investing in this segment is not free from risk. Rather, it would not be wrong to say that there are more risks than rewards. For every winner, there are multiple losers. Because losers get wiped off from the scene, what you see is winners alone. That’s called survivorship bias.

 

Here’s a tabulated summary of 10-year rolling returns and volatility for the Nifty 50, Nifty Midcap 150, and Nifty Smallcap 250, based on historical data:

 

Index 10-Year Rolling Returns (CAGR) Best 10-Year Return (CAGR) Worst 10-Year Return (CAGR) Average Volatility
Nifty 50 12.5% 18.5% 5.0% 15%
Nifty Midcap 150 16.0% 25.0% 3.0% 20%
Nifty Smallcap 250 17.5% 30.0% 1.0% 25%

 

Explanation:

  1. 10-Year Rolling Returns (CAGR):

    • Nifty 50: Reflects consistent, moderate returns with lower risk, representing large-cap stability.

    • Nifty Midcap 150: Higher average returns, capturing the growth potential of mid-cap stocks.

    • Nifty Smallcap 250: Maximum growth potential but higher volatility.

  2. Best/Worst 10-Year Return (CAGR):

    • Best rolling returns reflect periods of strong market performance, typically during bull markets.

    • Worst rolling returns show the impact of economic slowdowns or bear markets.

  3. Volatility:

    • Nifty 50: Least volatile due to the presence of established companies.

    • Nifty Midcap 150 and Nifty Smallcap 250: Higher volatility due to the market's perception of higher risk in smaller companies.

 

This data is useful for investors looking to balance risk and return while choosing investment strategies for different market-cap segments.

While mid caps have clearly outperformed, small caps have found it difficult to outpace the Nifty 50? So, investing in small caps is not a sure-shot path to good returns. However, if we see the volatility of these returns, mid and small caps are surely more volatile.

 

Here are some of the questions which should be on top of your mind while investing in funds / stocks with Mid Caps and Small Caps

 

1. Should I invest in mid and small caps?

So, should you invest in mid and small caps? While most stock and fund portfolios will have exposure to mid caps, add an extra flavour of mid and small caps only when you can digest the volatility involved. Also understand that there is no guarantee that mid and small caps will always outperform their larger counterparts.


Investing in mid-cap and small-cap stocks can offer high growth potential, but it also comes with higher risks due to their volatility and sensitivity to market conditions. Here's a structured approach to investing in mid and small caps:

 

2. How should I invest in mid and small caps?

The following should be kept in mind while investing in Mid Caps and Small Caps :

 

1. Understand Mid-Cap and Small-Cap Stocks

  • Mid-cap stocks: Companies ranked between 101-250 in terms of market capitalization. They offer a balance between growth potential and stability compared to large caps.

  • Small-cap stocks: Companies ranked 251 and beyond in market capitalization. They have higher growth potential but are more volatile and risky.

 

2. Key Investment Strategies

 

a. Diversify Your Portfolio

  • Don't overallocate to mid and small caps. Limit their exposure to 15-25% of your total portfolio based on your risk appetite.

  • Spread investments across sectors to reduce risk from sector-specific downturns.

 

b. Use Systematic Investment Plans (SIP)

  • Instead of a lump sum, invest through SIPs to mitigate volatility.

  • SIPs average out the purchase cost over time, protecting you from short-term market fluctuations.

 

c. Choose the Right Mutual Funds

  • Mid-Cap Funds: Invest in funds focusing on mid-cap companies for relatively lower risk than direct stock investing.

  • Small-Cap Funds: Suitable for aggressive investors with a high-risk tolerance. Fund managers help select high-growth small-cap stocks.

 

d. Focus on Quality Stocks

  • Look for companies with:

    • Strong management teams.

    • Healthy balance sheets (low debt-to-equity ratio).

    • Consistent earnings growth and competitive advantages.

  • Avoid companies with inconsistent performance or weak fundamentals.

 

e. Long-Term Perspective

  • Mid and small caps tend to outperform over the long term (7-10 years or more). Avoid short-term speculative trades.

 

f. Keep a Valuation Check

  • Assess the P/E (Price-to-Earnings) and P/B (Price-to-Book) ratios compared to industry peers.

  • Don’t overpay during a bull market when these stocks may become overvalued.

 

g. Regularly Review Your Portfolio

  • Track performance and rebalance if mid and small caps grow disproportionately or underperform significantly.

 

3. Risks to Consider

  • Market Liquidity: Smaller companies have fewer shares traded, making them less liquid.

  • Economic Sensitivity: These stocks are more affected by macroeconomic changes, interest rates, or inflation.

  • Information Risk: Less transparency and analyst coverage compared to large caps.

 

4. Who Should Invest?

Mid and small-cap investments are suitable for:

  • Aggressive investors seeking high growth.

  • Young investors with a long investment horizon.

  • Those willing to endure short-term volatility for potential long-term gains.

 

5. Recommended Allocation (Based on Risk Profile)

 

Risk Profile Mid-Cap Allocation Small-Cap Allocation Total Allocation
Conservative Up to 10% 0-5% 10-15%
Balanced 15-20% 5-10% 20-30%
Aggressive 20-25% 10-15% 30-40%

 

Key Considerations:

  • Conservative Investors: Focus on stability with minimal exposure to small caps, suitable for those prioritizing lower risk.

  • Balanced Investors: Strike a balance between growth and risk by allocating moderately to mid and small caps.

  • Aggressive Investors: Allocate a significant portion to mid and small caps for high-growth potential, ideal for those with a higher risk tolerance and a long-term horizon.

 

3. Best Time to Invest in Mid and Small Caps

The optimal time for investing depends on valuation metrics, market trends, and economic cycles:

 

Key Insights:

  • Market Cycles: Enter during the early phases of an economic recovery when liquidity is improving and business growth prospects are robust.

  • Earnings Cycle: Invest when earnings growth for smaller companies shows consistent improvement and is expected to outpace large-cap earnings.

  • Relative Valuations: Use the Midcap-to-Nifty 50 and Smallcap-to-Nifty 50 P/E ratios. Historical averages suggest a good entry point is when these ratios are closer to or below their long-term averages.

Actionable Tips:

  • Use Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs) to avoid the risks of mistiming the market.

  • Watch for corrections or bear markets to accumulate high-quality stocks/funds at discounted prices.

 

4. Optimal Allocation to Mid and Small Caps

Your allocation should align with your investment goals, risk tolerance, and market conditions:

Additional Insights:

  • Long-Term Horizon: Allocate more (up to 25% in mid and small caps) if your horizon is 7-10 years, as these categories tend to outperform large caps over the long term.

  • Capping Risk: Limit small-cap exposure to 10% due to its higher risk. Mid-caps can be allocated 15-20%, depending on your profile.

  • Dynamic Rebalancing: Adjust allocations yearly based on performance. For instance, reduce mid/small-cap exposure in euphoric markets and increase it during corrections.

 

5. When to Exit Mid and Small Caps

Knowing when to exit is crucial to lock in gains and avoid losses.

Advanced Insights:

  • Macro Trends: Exit or reduce exposure during periods of rising interest rates, which can hurt smaller companies more due to higher borrowing costs.

  • Market Euphoria: If mid- or small-cap indices are significantly overvalued compared to historical averages, it might be time to book profits.

  • Company-Level Triggers: Watch for signs like declining profit margins, inability to scale, or increasing competitive pressures.

Partial Exit Strategy:

  • Book partial profits at predefined targets (e.g., 50% gain or 3-4x returns) while retaining the rest for long-term growth.

  • Reinvest the proceeds in more stable large-cap stocks or safer assets to rebalance your portfolio.

 

6. How to Invest: Direct Stocks vs. Mutual Funds

Direct Stocks:

  • Pros: Higher growth potential if you select the right stocks. More control over the portfolio.

  • Cons: Requires in-depth research, higher risk, and active monitoring.

  • Ideal For: Experienced investors who can identify companies with strong fundamentals, management, and growth potential.

Mutual Funds:

  • Pros: Diversified exposure to mid/small-cap stocks, managed by professionals. Lower risk than direct stock investment.

  • Cons: Limited control over individual holdings.

  • Ideal For: Retail investors and those with limited time or expertise.

 

7. Additional Tips for Maximizing Returns

  1. Focus on Quality:

    • Select companies with strong balance sheets, good corporate governance, and proven scalability.

    • Avoid speculative bets in small caps.

  2. Monitor Market Liquidity:

    • Small caps can face liquidity challenges during downturns, leading to sharp price corrections.

  3. Stay Updated:

    • Follow sector trends to identify emerging opportunities in mid/small-cap segments (e.g., renewable energy, technology, healthcare).

  4. Stay Disciplined:

    • Avoid emotional decisions during market volatility. Stick to your investment plan and rebalance periodically.

 

Conclusion: The Best Option

  • Balanced Strategy: Combine SIPs in high-quality mid-cap and small-cap mutual funds with selective direct investments in fundamentally strong companies.

  • Dynamic Allocation: Start with a moderate allocation (15-20%) and adjust based on market conditions and personal goals.

  • Long-Term Horizon: Be prepared to hold for 7-10 years to fully benefit from the growth potential of mid and small caps.

 

By balancing risk and reward with disciplined investing and monitoring, you can capitalize on the growth potential of mid- and small-cap investments effectively.

Discussion

Results Season - Quarterly Results 2024

8 months ago | 17 min read • 12493 views

Decoding Trent's Triumph: The Impact of Zudio

9 months ago | 3 min read • 7020 views

2024 Interim Budget Highlights

10 months ago | 2 min read • 6892 views